As part of the Analytical Collaboration on Covid-19 – and working with the NHSE/I Midlands region - the Strategy Unit has produced a model to support local systems working through the dynamics of elective recovery.

The brief was to build a usable model that could be adopted and adapted locally, and that allowed the running of multiple scenarios to help inform local planning. We used a System Dynamics modelling approach to deliver this. The model was developed and tested with the NHSE/I Midlands region.

The model is freely available for non-commercial use. Instructions on accessing the model and working with it are available here;

For those requiring an introduction to the model and the System Dynamics method, an explanatory video is available here or here.

For further queries, Please contact Steven Wyatt ( and Mike Woodall (