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Collaboration outputs and useful links

Modelling the impact of covid on waiting lists for planned care

As part of the Analytical Collaboration on Covid-19 – and working with the NHSE/I Midlands region - the Strategy Unit has produced a model to support local systems working through the dynamics of elective recovery.

The brief was to build a usable model that could be adopted and adapted locally, and that allowed the running of multiple scenarios to help inform local planning. We used a System Dynamics modelling approach to deliver this. The model was developed and tested with the NHSE/I Midlands region.

The model is freely available for non-commercial use. Instructions on accessing the model and working with it are available here;

Strategy Unit RTT Model Guide1.71 MB

For those requiring an introduction to the model and the System Dynamics method, an explanatory video is available here or here.

For further queries, Please contact Steven Wyatt (swyatt@nhs.net) and Mike Woodall (m.woodall@nhs.net) 

 

International comparisons: Briefing papers

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Briefing: Are some countries better at caring for their ICU patients than others?62.51 KB
Briefing: International comparisons of COVID-19 death data61.17 KB

COVID 19 Learning Guide - SU COVID Analytical Collaboration

During the COVID-19 pandemic we have seen rapid changes in ways of working. We have seen an increase in collaboration, particularly through digital platforms, the sharing of data, and people describing ‘true system working’.

So how do we capture innovations and changes in practice? How do we learn from them? How to we identify what should be continued and what should not? How do we sort promising, effective changes from those that are ineffective – or even potentially harmful?

If we don’t think about how to do this systematically there is a risk that learning will be lost as pressures to ‘return to normal’ increase. 

How can we learn from changes in practice under COVID-19?2.63 MB
 

This guide has been developed to help health and social care teams and their leaders learn from service changes put in place or accelerated during the COVID-19 response. The guide is not exhaustive. It offers an overview and practical, helpful suggestions of how learning can be captured and acted upon. It signposts to more detailed resources.

Changes in healthcare activity during the Covid-19 pandemic

Changes in outpatient activity since Covid lockdown wk21 - 300620204.61 MB
Changes in A&E attendance patterns since Covid lockdown Wk223.58 MB
Changes in planned hospital admission since Covid lockdown Wk22 Analysis2.76 MB
Changes in A&E attendance patterns since Covid lockdown - Children and young people wk263.76 MB
Changes in patterns of emergency hospital admissions since covid lockdown - week 244.12 MB
How might the COVID-19 pandemic influence levels of unplanned hospital use in the medium term?671.11 KB

Publications from collaboration partners

  • How did the NHS free up hospital capacity at the start of the pandemic? - Blog from the Nuffield Trust 
  • How has lockdown affected general practice and where do we go from here? -Blog from the Nuffield Trust 

Useful resources

  • Evidence Insights: Special edition - COVID19 - this bulletin is a collation of Covid19 evidence and resources from a range of sources.  
  • Wakelet collection: @Covid19Collaboration - this houses a collection of useful resources to inform health system responses to Covid19.
  • FutureNHS - this FutureNHS workplace is for all things related to Data and Analytics support for Covid-19 (Registration required).   
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