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News 16/09/2026

Despair now accounts for one-sixth of all years of life lost

Deaths from drug misuse, alcohol use and suicide, often referred to as deaths of despair, are on the rise.  New research, by the Strategy Unit and the Health Foundation, show how deaths rates vary by sex and socio-economic deprivation, and how these rates changed during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Clean empty bed in a hospital ,Patient bed in hospital,Empty hospital bed
Blog post 03/08/2026

The hidden challenge at the heart of the 10-year plan

A new tool exploring why hospital bed pressure is increasing and what this could mean for future NHS capacity planning.

red and blue ribbon twirls
10/06/2026

Improving perioperative flow: using simulation to understand elective care pathways

Why are operations still being cancelled on the day of surgery, despite long waiting lists and high demand? The answer often lies not in a single point of failure, but in how the perioperative pathway functions as a whole.

emergency fire exit sign hanging from the ceiling
Long read 11/05/2026

Discharge before noon

Can data on discharge times help us to improve hospital flow?

Dr Lucy Morgan smiling in front of a board of mathematical equations. Text reads “Inside the Algorithm with Dr Lucy Morgan, live 6th May"
News 05/05/2026

Why NHS models should be built to be reused

Our Head of Simulation, Dr Lucy Morgan, recently appeared on the new podcast Inside the Algorithm, hosted by Cambridg

picture of kidneys in a persons bare hands
Blog post 09/01/2026

Planning for rising renal demand: simulating capacity across the care system

Demand for kidney replacement therapy is rising, and current capacity will not be sufficient over the next decade. This work uses simulation modelling to help systems understand future pressures and test potential responses.

4 people queing in a medical clinic
Blog post 12/11/2025

Beating the backlog: Meeting the waiting list challenge

The NHS waiting list in England must halve to reach waiting time targets.

Population health implications of the Covid-19 pandemic graph
Report 16/01/2023

Population health implications of the Covid-19 pandemic

​​Our new report for The Midlands Decision Support Network (MDSN) presents findings of the effects of the care disruption, from the Covid-19 pandemic, on population health. The in-depth analysis identifies which patients and health conditions should be the focus of future efforts in reducing inequalities caused by the pandemic. ​

Woman facing wall covered in handwritten hearts wearing black waistcoat showing  National Covid Memorial Wall
Report 06/07/2021

Measuring the effect of the coronavirus pandemic on population health

Measuring the effect of the coronavirus pandemic on population health

Budgets
29/04/2019

Have cuts to public spending on social care for older people led to more emergency hospital admissions?

Cuts to council social care budgets are often cited as a cause of pressure on NHS urgent and emergency care services. Much of the evidence supporting this link, however, is anecdotal. We set out to try and quantify the effect of cuts to social care on older people’s use of emergency healthcare services, and our research has just been published in BMJ Open.

Admission Results
Report 31/10/2018

Evaluation of an Integrated Mental Health Liaison Service (Rapid Assessment Interface and Discharge Service) in Northern Ireland

A high proportion of patients treated for physical health conditions also have co-morbid mental health problems; and there is growing acceptance of

Heatmap - PCT Breaches
28/09/2018

New Perspectives on the Perennial Problem of Urgent Care

Waiting times in A&E are never far from the headlines.   It threatens to become the defining healthcare performance issue of our time

Report 05/11/2017

Identifying Potential QIPP Opportunities - Dudley Example

Given the pressures within the NHS, being able to identify opportunities for efficiencies and improvements is

Hands holding
Report 01/12/2015

The Effect of Demographic Change on Acute Hospital Utilisation

Recognising that the effect of population ageing can be overstated, we set out to ask what effect an older population will have on demand for

Report 05/11/2015

Identifying Potential QIPP Opportunities - Dudley Example

Given the pressures within the NHS, being able to identify opportunities for efficiencies and improvements is

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